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Archive for the ‘Investing on MYC4’ Category

It’s time for a new investor testimonial; below you can read some of Payam Samarghandis (investor since 2007) thoughts about MYC4 and what could be improved. When we contacted Payam Samarghandi, he immediately offered to help us out with a little interview.

 

Hi Payam, first of all thanks for participating, can you tell us a little about yourself and your motivation for using MYC4?
Payam SamarghandiI am 22 years old, I live in Denmark and I’m studying law. What perhaps sets me apart from other people at my age is that I am very interested in society in general and the structure of this – and it was exactly because of this interest that I became aware of the existence of MYC4 a few years ago. Through MYC4, I can participate in building a sustainable Africa where it is the Africans themselves who serve as the engine for this. The idea that it is the private initiative, without help from government supported institutions, and that I can be part of an ambitious and long-term project to improve the living standards in Africa aroused my interest.

In contrast to the numerous donations given every year to aid, in the traditional way, here is a project that puts real demand on the recipients of contributions – a necessary requirement, which means that society grows and Africans learn to reflect independently.

The road to hell is often paved with good intentions, and no matter how controversial it may sound, I am of the opinion that aid which simply provides food on the table for a short time, maintains Africa at a stage where they always will depend on the West. “Give a man a fish and you feed him for a day. Teach a man to fish and you feed him for a lifetime”. This saying illustrates, in fact, my enthusiasm for MYC4 to the fullest.

If you could tell the readers on the blog about one single aspect in relation to MYC4, critical or positive, what would you highlight?

To me MYC4 is pure idealism. Although we have not yet seen the long-term impact of microloans, it indeed has much potential to it and if the full effect is achieved, this might likely be a small step towards something bigger.

What is the best (and worst) thing about MYC4?

Although MYC4 has increased the transparency, it may still discourage potential lenders that Africans have full disposal of your money. Many questions and hypothetical situations may arise and it may deter people from investing the amount that they had intended. Similarly, transparency can also be increased after you have provided the loan so that it accurately illustrates how much you have earned in return, exchange rate fluctuations, etc.

The positive aspect is that every citizen is given an opportunity to provide a unique support to Africa. The underlying idea and purpose with MYC4 is indeed something that I support.

One challenge for MYC4 is also to promote at a much larger scale so that the common citizen would have a better understanding as to the underlying idea behind MYC4, and hereby make it more well-known to provide microloans.

If you should present MYC4 to someone who had never heard about us before, what would you emphasize?

As mentioned previously: “Give a man a fish and you feed him for a day. Teach a man to fish and you feed him for a lifetime.” Hopefully, this is the beginning of a general reconsideration of the question of how we in the best possibly way can provide help to Africa. All countries have been through crises, yet none of them have survived these without taking an initiative.

What do you consider as competitors/alternatives to MYC4?

In Denmark, just to mention one example, a fundraising for Africa takes place each year. This year alone more than 10 million Euro was donated; this money will be managed by various aid agencies and used to build schools, provide people with food and so forth. But what will the Africans have achieved when the money runs out? Will they be ready to support themselves? Imagine if a fraction of the annual millions could be lent through MYC4 in revolving funds. A challenge for MYC4 could thus be to target these fundraisings and channel some of the many millions in revolving funds to microloans.

What do you think MYC4 will look like in the future?

I think MYC4 will serve as a great marketplace for microloans, not only in East Africa, but also in other places in the world where it is needed. The demand to lend money will increase as the system is recommended in the population, and many businesses and investment funds will see the possibility of placing their money in microloans, while simultaneously building a strong social profile.

Do you have any ideas/ improvements for MYC4 that you would like to share with the readers and us?

I think MYC4 would benefit from working together with strong social profiles that will support and act as ambassadors. For people who don’t know much about MYC4, it can quickly discourage them that your money is being lent to people in a continent that is known for having a high degree of corruption. MYC4 must therefore ensure to communicate the safety of the system so as to encourage various investors and investment funds to use MYC4 as an investment vehicle in order to increase the living standards for the people in Africa.

Thank you to Payam for his inputs and opinions. And remember, I’m still only a click away if you want your story told: karl@myc4.com.

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The first quarter of the new year is over and we are happy to share the quarterly portfolio performance with you as usual.

Performance wise, the picture has not changed much since the last update; around 75 % of the amount disbursed in the last four years by the current providers* has been fully repaid, 22 % is being repaid on time, 1 % is being repaid late, and net defaults are still kept below 2 %. In terms of volume, this quarter has been slower than the previous two with close to 830,000 euro disbursed. It is worth noting, however, that although the growth trend from last year did not continue, this is still the third best quarter in three years when looking at amount disbursed.

Performance Current Providers

Portfolio Performance – current providers (click to enlarge)

The Portfolio Performance Graph above shows the performance of loans disbursed since 2010 divided by quarter of disbursement. The colour blue shows funds that have already been repaid, green shows amounts that are being repaid on time, yellow indicates the balances on loans that are currently more than 30 days late, while red shows the net defaulted principal (i.e. defaulted principal less recoveries).

In relation to the profit & loss, investors have been affected by the weakening of the East African currencies relative to the Euro over the last 6 months which has translated into significant currency losses, especially on loans disbursed in the third quarter of 2012. These losses have nevertheless been covered by interest earned and a good portion of the loans is still outstanding (i.e. the net currency effects may still change). The new currency losses are reflected in the overall result as the the net return is now positive at 1.5 % on loans disbursed by the current providers in the last four years, down from 1.7 % in the previous quarter.

Profit & Loss Current Providers

Profit & Loss – current providers (click to enlarge)

The Profit & Loss graph above shows the current result on loans disbursed since 2010 divided by quarter of disbursement. The colour green shows the earned interest, the red indicates the net defaults (i.e. defaulted principal less recoveries), and the purple shows the net realised currency gains or losses.

For loans disbursed in 2013, there have so far been very minimal currency effects. As can be seen from the graphs below, the three main East African currencies started depreciating relative to the Euro around August last year and continued to do so until February 2013. Over the last two months, however, they have started strengthening again. In 2011, the shillings went through a somewhat similar development which was described in more detail in the blog posts As the Shillings Slide… and The Recovery of the Shilling, but the extent and implications of the slide in 2011 by far exceeded the recent developments (e.g. the Kenyan shilling was at 146 shs to 1 euro at its worst in November 2011 compared to 121 in February 2013). Remember that all currencies are updated on a weekly basis on MYC4 and can be found on the country pages.

Kenya shilling (KES) relative to the Euro

EUR-UGX

Ugandan shilling (UGX) relative to the Euro

EUR-TZS

Tanzanian shilling (TZS) relative to the Euro

While MYC4′s total outstanding loan balance (OLB) grew steadily each quarter in 2012, the OLB remained stable in the first quarter of 2013, closing at 2.25 million euro in more than 4300 active loans. The country concentration has shifted slightly so that Kenya now holds the majority of the portfolio (41%) with Uganda as a close second (37%) and Tanzania growing its significance slowly (now at 16%). The portfolio at risk above 30 days (PAR30) remains below the 5 % target which it has been for five consecutive quarters now. 

* Current Providers: GrowthAfrica, Gatsby Microfinance Ltd, Micro Africa Ltd, Premier Resource Consulting, Tujijenge Tanzania, Fusion Capital Ltd, Makao Mashinani Ltd, Tujijenge Uganda, BELITA, KEEF, Yehu Microfinance Trust, SISDO, Fanikiwa Microfinance Company Ltd., and Mtaji Credit Facility Ltd.

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Mads Kjær is our co-founder and CEO, but at the same time the largest investor on MYC4 with more than €600,000 invested on several accounts with different purposes. So after a couple of other investor testimonials, why not take a chat with Mads to hear a little about what his motivation is for using MYC4 and how he invests his funds.  

 Mads Kjaer

Why do you invest on MYC4 – what’s the first thing that comes to mind?

For me investing on MYC4 is one of the reasons that I created the company MYC4. The idea of allowing anybody from anywhere to take action and support a small business of their own choice. Secondly it’s important for me to do both social and financial impact and I find both at my fingertips on MYC4′s platform.

You have several investor accounts; can you tell us a little about the accounts? Do you use different bidding strategies etc.? 

The investor accounts have been created at different times. In 2012, I opened two new accounts with €400,000 and €150,000 to start building new portfolios without the track record of learnings from 2007 to 2009.

As to bidding strategies – I like to see the bid bar getting GREEN, so I will often fund small loans at the offered interest 100% and then the crowd funding and Dutch-auction will take its toll.

What is your motivation for using MYC4 to invest in African entrepreneurs? 

Over the last 30 years travelling, working and living in Africa I have seen that there is a strong spirit of entrepreneurship and hard work setting up and running a small business. Often the media in Denmark focus on the challenges of Africa; war, corruption, diseases etc. and it’s a part of Africa, yet the coin has also a hard-working side of women and men who take charge and responsibility of their own lives.

What’s the best and worst thing about MYC4?

I can access the platform from anywhere in the world and do my daily portfolio management investing in small businesses in East Africa. For me the worst is when a loan is closing without the bar turning green, in other words that there was not enough capital available to fund.

What do you emphasize when you present MYC4 to somebody who has never heard about us before?

It’s a way to look at Africa like a business case. MYC4 is a platform like eBay is a platform, yet with MYC4 it’s about crowd funding where the Lender and Borrower are doing a loan transaction.

Who do you consider as competitors/alternatives to MYC4?

I have accounts on e.g. Kiva and Babyloan to learn and support – yet must say that MYC4 is both of them and a lot more. If you are a social investor you can lend out your funds directly on MYC4 at 0% interest like on Kiva, yet you can also see the actual cost for the borrower and choose next time to ask for a financial return beyond the social.

What are some of the key challenges MYC4 will have to overcome in 2013?photo

I see several challenges like;

- More liquidity on the platform to fund the growing number of borrowers.

- New loan products for e.g. solar, housing, health etc.

- Better user interface like e.g. a responsive site adapted to PC, tablet and smart phone automatically.

- MYC4 as an APP.

Last but not least, what do you think MYC4 will look like in 3 years?

In 3 years MYC4 will reach over 1 million small business loans in East Africa and is on its way to roll out in other African regions, Latin America, India, Asia and Europe.

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Two new investor reports have been released to the MYC4 platform today: one report with social indicators for each investor’s loan portfolio, and another one with the investor’s key lending statistics.

The two reports are both accessible from My Account when logged in. The highlights are introduced below, but the best way to experience the reports is by checking them out on your own investor account right away. And while you’re at it, why not let us know what you think? Write a comment here on the blog, send an email to info@myc4.com or get in touch on Facebook.

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Lending Statistics

The lending statistics table is placed just below your balance sheet (scroll down a bit on the front page of My Account) and offers the following new information:

  • Total amount lent: This figure is the sum of your successful bids. Note that it is not the same as your outstanding principal; The total amount lent shows all your successful bids to date while the outstanding principal shows the part of your bids that have not yet been repaid (which you can find in your balance sheet).
  • Re-lending ratio: This indicator shows you how many times your money has been lent out. It is the ratio between your total amount lent and your total uploads (including funds received from gift cards and inter-account transfers). For example, if you have lent out €150 over the time you have been on MYC4 and you have uploaded €100, you have a re-lending ratio of 1.5.

The lending statistics furthermore enable you to track your portfolio on the following parameters: Median loan size, Average loan size, Average interest, Average payback period and Average bid size. The table is expandable to show a breakdown for both countries and providers, same as the balance sheet.

Lending Stats

Example of the new Lending Statistics

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Social Indicators

My Account Left Hand Menu

You will find your Social Indicators Report in the left hand menu on My Account, just below your Profit & Loss. Here you will first of all see the number of people that you have influenced by lending through MYC4. More specifically you will see:

  • Business owners. This counts the number of loans that you have supported, thus one business owner for each of your loans.
  • Business owners’ dependants. Here you can see the number of dependants that you have supported. Dependants are usually the business owner’s partner, children or other family, and its registered as a range for each business on the MYC4 platform.
  • Business employees. This shows the number of employees that you have supported, meaning the employees of the businesses you have lent to. This figure is also registered as a range on the MYC4 platform.

The total number of people influenced is split into two: “Total people influenced with full loan amount” and “Total people influenced with my share of loan amount”. The first total shows your influence regardless of the size of your bid and this figure is therefore your crowdfunding influence together with other investors. The other total isolates your bids by weighting the size of your bid relative to the total loan size in order to show your independent influence without other investors. For example, if you bid €200 on a loan the size of €1,000 which in total influences 10 people, then your influence as your share of the loan amount is 2 people.

Example of Social Indicators - People Influenced

Example of Social Indicators – People Influenced

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Business and Business Owner Characteristics

The next part of the social indicators shows you key characteristics of the businesses you have lent to. More precisely, it tells you the businesses’ average net monthly income, their average number of years in operation, their legal status (registered or not), and whether they have 1 or more loans with MYC4 (essentially whether the businesses are repeat borrowers). In the business owner characteristics box, you will find the gender of the entrepreneurs you have lent to, their marital status, and age.

Business Characteristics

Example of Social Indicators – Business and Business Owner Characteristics

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Business Industries

In the final box, you can find out how your portfolio has been spread out in terms of business industries. The percentages are calculated on primary industries only which are registered on the MYC4 platform for each business (note that the data is based on number of loans for each industry, not loan amount).

Example of Social Indicators - Business Industries

Example of Social Indicators – Business Industries

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We start the new year with our usual quarterly look at the MYC4 portfolio performance.

The final quarter of 2012 was the strongest in three years in terms of volume with more than 1,075,000 euro disbursed. The positive growth trend of the previous three quarters thus continued which is clearly illustrated in the graph below. It is positive to note that the performance of the portfolio continues to be very strong. Around 73 % of the amounts disbursed in the last three years by the current providers has been paid back, 24 % is being paid back on time, 1.5 % is being repaid late, and net defaults are still kept below 2 %.

Portfolio Performance Q4 2012

Portfolio performance – current providers (click to enlarge)

The Portfolio Performance Graph above shows the performance of loans disbursed since 2010 divided by quarter of disbursement. The colour blue shows funds that have already been repaid, green shows amounts that are being repaid on time, yellow indicates the balances on loans that are currently more than 30 days late, while red shows the net defaulted principal (i.e defaulted principal less recoveries).

The net return is positive at 1.7 % on loans disbursed by the current providers in the last three years. This is a small decline from the previous quarter’s 1.9 %, yet it is still up from 1.2 % in Q2 and -0,1 % in Q1. As a new key indicator, we have calculated the Return on Investment (RoI) for each of our active countries. The RoI is calculated as the result after defaults, interest, and currency divided by the total invested amount. This is quite a basic calculation which makes it possible to compare the performance of each country irrespective of portfolio distribution. The calculation is based on 4,434 loans that have all been either repaid or defaulted, thus making the figure a realised return – as opposed to the net result which is also based on loans still repaying. The overall RoI, as well as the country breakdown, is depicted in the graph below.

RoI 2012 Q4, incl. overall

Return on Investment (RoI) – current providers (click to enlarge)

The RoI Graph above shows the realised investor return on loans disbursed since 2010 divided by quarter of disbursement. It is calculated as the result (interest, net defaulted principal, and currency gains/losses) divided by the total invested amount on loans fully repaid or defaulted.  

It is clear from the RoI graph that the return is fairly dependent on currency fluctuations, especially in light of the realised currency gains/losses as can be seen in the profit & loss graph below. Investors have generally experienced currency losses on loans disbursed in 2010 as well as the first quarter of 2011, and subsequently received significant gains on loans disbursed in the second half of 2011. There have so far been some currency losses on the portfolio disbursed in 2012, but more than half of this portfolio is still outstanding and thus it is too early to know how this part of the portfolio will develop in the months to come. When looking at the country breakdown in the RoI graph, loans in Ghana and Kenya have been relatively unprofitable – although Kenya has improved lately – while Uganda, Rwanda and Tanzania have performed well when observing this over a three year span. (Note that the currency history for each of the five countries is updated on a weekly basis on the MYC4 platform and can be found under the country profiles.)

Profit & Loss – current providers (click to enlarge)

Profit & Loss – current providers (click to enlarge)

The Profit & Loss graph above shows the current result on loans disbursed since 2010 divided by quarter of disbursement. The colour green shows the earned interest, the red indicates the net defaults (i.e. defaulted principal less recoveries), and the purple shows the net realised currency gains or losses.

With the increased volume on the platform in 2012, the outstanding loan balance (OLB) has been on an upward trend throughout the year. More precisely, the OLB grew from 1.2 million in January 2012 to more than 2.2 million in December. The concentration of the portfolio has at the same time improved so that 40 % is now in Uganda (down from 50 % in Q3), 37 % is in Kenya (up from 30 %), and 15 % is now in Tanzania. It is expected that the portfolio in Tanzania will grow further this quarter to achieve an even better distribution between our three focus countries. Finally, the Portfolio at Risk above 30 days (PAR30) stayed below the 5 % target (industry best practice) for the fourth quarter in a row. The two graphs below show the development of the portfolio size and quality.

All in all, the portfolio has performed very satisfactorily in 2012 both in terms of growth and quality. We will be back in a couple of days with a look at the challenges and opportunities for 2013.

OLB 2012 Q4

MYC4 OLB (click to enlarge)

PAR30 - current providers (click to enlarge)

PAR30 – current providers (click to enlarge)

* Current Providers: GrowthAfrica, Gatsby Microfinance Ltd, Micro Africa Ltd, Premier Resource Consulting, Tujijenge Tanzania, Fusion Capital Ltd, Makao Mashinani Ltd, Tujijenge Uganda, BELITA, KEEF, Yehu Microfinance Trust, and SISDO.

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Our provider in Ghana, Premier Resource Consulting (PRC), is currently experiencing some challenges in terms of institutional capacity and portfolio quality. Furthermore, bank bureaucracy has led to significant delays in the transfer of repaid funds.

PRC has been active on the MYC4 platform since September 2008 and has over the years disbursed close to €490,000 to 57 small businesses in Ghana. At the beginning of 2012, PRC’s outstanding loan balance (OLB) was around €150,000, and since March it has been reducing slowly but steadily every month to its current volume of €45,000 (see graph below). The large reduction in OLB is due to the fact that PRC has not been allowed to upload new loans to the MYC4 platform in the last three quarters of the year. This decision was made by MYC4 together with PRC with a view to ensure that all PRC’s resources were utilised to monitor and manage the outstanding loans. From a credit risk perspective, it was also important to keep PRC’s share of the total MYC4 portfolio small considering their relatively poor risk rating. It is therefore positive to note that PRC’s share of the total portfolio has gone from 12 % in January to 2 % in November.

OLB PRC

While PRC’s Portfolio At Risk above 30 days (PAR30) has been fairly stable, albeit too high, most of the year, it unfurtunately shot up to 100 % last month. Several actions have been taken to rectify this situation: most importantly, PRC is working on reconciling their accounts with the MYC4 system to make sure that all received repayments are entered correctly and transferred to investors; in addition, PRC is using the services of a debt collection agency to follow up on the most delinquent loans.

Finally, there have been some large delays with repayment processing on PRC loans the past couple of months which have been caused by a lot of bureaucracy in the bank that we use for international money transfers in Ghana. Most of the backlog was cleared two weeks ago when MYC4′s CEO went to talk to the bank manager together with PRC’s CEO, however one bundled repayment is yet to come through.

We will give monthly updates on PRC and their portfolio in 2013.

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A new batch of recoveries from Birima has been transferred to investor accounts today. Birima, our provider in Senegal, was suspended from operating on the MYC4 platform back in 2010 and since then we have been following up on an ongoing basis to ensure that as much as possible of the defaulted portfolio is recovered.

Birima Marketing

Today’s recoveries amount to €6,100 which has been divided evenly between the 23 defaulted loans. The total amount of Birima recoveries that have been returned to investors in the last year and a half is now €28,525. Read previous blog posts on this topic here:

Recoveries on loans from Senegal (May, 2011)

New recoveries on loans from Senegal (February, 2012)

A third round of Senegal recoveries is now in investor accounts (June, 2012)

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This week, we made a couple of improvements to the platform which affect MYC4 investors in one way or another. The two main changes are highlighted here:

Prioritisation of Auto Bids

The Auto Bid function on the MYC4 platform is a unique feature that allows investors to make automatic bids on loans that match a set of customised criteria (e.g. by country, provider, industry, size, gender of entrepreneur, payback period). As an investor, you can create, view and edit your Auto Bids under My Account (read more about this in our FAQ).

Automatic bidding is particularly useful to avoid idle funds in investor accounts seeing as money is bid out almost instantaneously when a loan matches the investors’ specified criteria. In a time where the liquidity on the platform is insufficient to fund all loan applications, the Auto Bids are instrumental in ensuring that as many loans as possible are funded.

In order to optimise the allocation of available capital on the platform, we have decided to change the prioritisation of the Auto Bids to target loans at risk of cancelling. This means that whenever two or more loans match the criteria of an Auto Bid, the system will decide which of the loans to bid on based on two parameters – first, the funding status of the loan and then the bidding deadline.

1. THE FUNDING STATUS OF THE LOAN

Essentially, the update to the Auto Bid function introduces the loans’ funding status as a new – and key – parameter:

  • loans that are yet to obtain 100 % funding at or below the wanted investor interest rate (red loans) are prioritised first;
  • loans where bids with minimum interest rates will be adjusted at the bidding deadline and thereby ensure funding (yellow loans) are prioritised second;
  • and loans with 100 % funding at or below the wanted investor interest rate (green loans) are prioritised last.

2. THE BIDDING DEADLINE

Before the update, all Auto Bids were prioritised according to the loans’ bidding deadline so that the loans that were about to close would be first in line to receive bids. The bidding deadline is still an important parameter for the Auto Bids, but it now comes into play only when two or more loans are in the same funding status.

Withdrawals from new investor accounts: 90-day lock

In order to tighten the security on the MYC4 platform, we are introducing a 90-day withdrawal lock on new investor accounts as a fraud prevention mechanism, particularly targeted at online credit card fraud. In practical terms it means that new investors will be unable to withdraw funds from their account in the first 90 days after activation.

Money can however be refunded to a credit card (the same credit card that was used for the upload) earlier than the 90 day limit if the full amount of the initial transaction is still available on the MYC4 account (contact info@myc4.com to do so).

This change is only applicable for investor accounts created after November 5th 2012.

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Back in January, we set out some targets for the year ahead. We wrote:

A key opportunity for 2012 is portfolio growth. We have spent the last 1-2 years on improving the MYC4 business model, our organisational capacity and procedures, as well as our local partner network, meaning that our focus has been on quality rather than growth. We feel that we are now ready to start growing again, and we are experiencing a pull from MFIs that are interested in joining the MYC4 platform. Rest assured, we will not forget our (tough) lessons learned: quality must always remain at the centre of attention, and we strive for controlled growth with good quality loan providers.

The best way to measure our growth is to look at the Outstanding Loan Balance (OLB), that is the total outstanding principal on our active loans. When we started the year, we had an OLB of around 1.2 million euro in 1,200 loans; last week we hit the 2 million mark and we now have more than 3,000 active borrowers. Our overall goal for the portfolio is to end the year at €2.5 million – a target that is still within reach provided that the growth of the year’s first 9 months continues through this fourth quarter.

Another challenge at the beginning of the year was a lack of portfolio diversification country and provider wise. More than 53 % of the portfolio was at the time concentrated in Uganda while Rwanda (17 %), Kenya (11 %), Ghana (11%), and Tanzania (8%) shared the rest. The key issue at the time was that one provider, Gatsby Microfinance Ltd, was alone holding 43 % of the total portfolio. In this regard, the picture has also improved: the Uganda portfolio is still large at 49 %, but it is now held by three different providers and Gatsby’s share is slowly coming down (currently at 37 %); the Kenya portfolio has been growing steadily all year with the introduction of three new providers – KEEF, Yehu Microfinance Trust, and SISDO – and increased activity from Micro Kenya. It is now at 29 % and still growing, even with the exit of Fusion Capital, Growth Africa, and Makao Mashinani well underway; the third focus country for MYC4 is Tanzania where the portfolio has traditionally been small. The results of increased activity from Tujijenge Tanzania and the introduction of BELITA to the platform can be seen on the portfolio size which has grown to 14 %. It is furthermore expected that a couple of new MFIs from Tanzania will be joining the platform in the short to medium term. Evidently, the portfolios in Ghana and Rwanda have been reduced significantly in the same period (to 2 % and 5 % respectively), but we see that as a positive development as we deepen our presence in the three focus countries.

Outstanding Loan Balance and concentration of the MYC4 Portfolio

In terms of the portfolio quality, we were happy to report on another strong quarter in the recent Portfolio Performance update. The main challenge at the moment continues to be the liquidity situation on the platform – the loans in need of funding are plenty, but the capital available to fund them will need another boost if the growth is to continue.

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Another quarter has gone by so here is an update on MYC4′s Portfolio Performance.

The positive trend from the first half of the year continued in the third quarter of 2012: first of all, more than 950,000 euro was disbursed this quarter, thereby surpassing last quarter’s high volume of 800,000 euro by a significant margin; secondly, the net return on loans disbursed after Q2 2009 by the current providers* improved to 1.9 % after currency (up from 1.2 % in Q2 and -0.1% in Q1). Investors’ net result before currency also improved from 3.6% in Q2 to 3.9% in Q3; thirdly, the performance of the portfolio disbursed in the last three years by the current providers continues to be strong – around 73 % has so far been fully repaid, net defaults are kept below 2 %, and just 1 % is currently being repaid late (by more than 30 days).

Portfolio performance – current providers (click to enlarge)

The Portfolio Performance Graph above shows the performance of loans disbursed since 2010 divided by quarter of disbursement. The colour blue shows funds that have already been repaid, green shows amounts that are being repaid on time, yellow indicates the balances on loans that are currently more than 30 days late, while red shows the net defaulted principal (i.e defaulted principal less recoveries).

With regards to the effect of currency gains and losses, the picture has not changed a lot over the last three months: there have been significant losses on loans disbursed in 2010 and in the first quarter of 2011, the investors then experienced large gains on loans disbursed in the second half of 2011, and so far in 2012 the currency effects have been minimal (with the exception of Ghana).

Profit & Loss – current providers (click to enlarge)

The Profit & Loss graph above shows the current result on loans disbursed since 2010 divided by quarter of disbursement. The colour green shows the earned interest, the red indicates the net defaults (i.e. defaulted principal less recoveries), and the purple shows the net realised currency gains or losses.

On the less positive side, 110 loans of close to 220,000 euro cancelled due to lack of liquidity this quarter. The demand for loans on the platform was thus higher than the supply of capital for the third quarter in a row. The outstanding loan portfolio grew despite the liquidity constraints and we are now very close to reaching 2 million euro in outstanding loan balance (OLB) – see development in the graph below.

MYC4 OLB (click to enlarge)

The portfolio is largely concentrated in Uganda (50 %), but Kenya is growing (now at 30 %), and increased activity from Tujijenge Tanzania this quarter has likewise helped growing Tanzania’s share (12 %). The portfolio at risk above 30 days (PAR30) deteriorated slightly this quarter to close at 4.7 %, yet it was still below the 5 % target (industry best practice).

Other notable highlights from the third quarter includes SISDO joining as a new provider, a new balance sheet for investors, and MYC4 reaching loan number 10,000. To read previous updates on the portfolio performance, including the historical results, follow one of these links: Q2 2012, Q1 2012, Q4 2011, Q3 2011, Q2 2011, Q1 2011, 2010.

* Current Providers: GrowthAfrica, Gatsby Microfinance Ltd, Micro Africa Ltd, Premier Resource Consulting, Tujijenge Tanzania, Fusion Capital Ltd, Makao Mashinani Ltd, Tujijenge Uganda, BELITA, KEEF, Yehu Microfinance Trust, and SISDO.

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